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唐驳虎:十年九相,对华友好的日本首相都怎么被坑的?
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唐驳虎:十年九相,对华友好的日本首相都怎么被坑的?

2020年09月17日 19:09:10
来源:唐驳虎

文/凤凰新闻客户端荣誉主笔 唐驳虎

核心提示:

1、日本首相频繁更迭,包括党内斗争、执政压力、党际对抗、选举需求都会成为原因。更多时候丑闻频发、身体原因,首相“自发辞职”也比较常见。

2、小泉纯一郎上任前,日本首相在十余年间几乎一年一换,小泉借助“经济自由化”让日本经济连续69个月增长,自己也留下了创纪录的三任首相任期。

3、但此后接班的安倍晋三多名阁员丑闻连续爆发,政治压力下肠炎爆发匆匆辞职。接着福田康夫受到“密室协商”等丑闻影响辞职,继任麻生太郎上台即遭到金融危机打击,支持率暴跌。

4、2009年大选,日本民主党大胜上台。但因为三任领导人皆为理想主义者,出台改革政策把企业、工会、官僚、政客等各方力量得罪。三位对华友好的首相,竟在各方力量的裹挟下,把中日关系推到了战后最坏的冰点。加之赶上百年不遇的大地震,民主党又毫无悬念地四分五裂。

日本换首相是怎么回事?

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这样,首相职务既要基于民众-议员-政党的议院社会选举,获得执政党资格;又要基于党内的总裁选举,获得党首资格,是一种“选上加选”的复杂制度。

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由于众议院选举4年一次,通常情况下,虽然首相更迭,但执政党并未轮换,而是由党内实力政客轮流接任总裁-首相。这也是日本首相更迭的第二个基本特点。

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同样狼狈的福田、麻生

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民主党——其兴也勃,其亡也忽

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然而,民主党上台以来一直奉行制约、打压官僚体系的路线。

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lol下注……zheishihousheihailaijinian“zhongribangjiaozhengchanghua40zhounian”?

原本对华最为友好的三位民主党人士,竟然在首相任上,被各方力量裹挟,把中日关系推到战后最坏的历史冰点。

当然,还有经济上不景气等重要原因,野田佳彦的支持率更是一塌糊涂。党内已经开始分崩离析。

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野田任上在反对声浪中提出增加消费税法案,因为必须增税,否则政府无法维持,为此不怕得罪民众。坚持改正退休金法案,退休金提高到65岁才可以拿,否则福利压力太大,为此不怕得罪工会。

最后,民主党的种种改革政策,把企业、工会、农协、地方、学校、官僚、政客,乃至民众、中国、美国全部得罪了个遍,lol下注还遇上一个百年不遇的地震,也是够悲壮的。

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安倍幸运的第二次执政

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gengzhongyaode,anbeidiercizhizhengpaichulezhuduiyou,yunqihenhao。benrenyefeichanghege,henhaodepinghenglegefangmiandeguanxi,qudelebucuodezhengji。

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